Nevada Congressional Polls

The latest Mason-Dixon poll shows a dead heat between challenger Dina Titus and incumbent representative Jon Porter in Nevada's third district, considered one of the most competitive congressional races in the country.

It's too bad in a way Dina didn't run last time instead of running for governor.

This poll also shows incumbent Dean Heller of Nevada's second district well ahead of challenger Jill Derby, although the latest Reno Gazette-Journal poll showed it a virtual dead heat, with Heller just three points ahead of Derby.

I say the race favors Heller thanks to his bailout opposition, but it'll all depend on turnout.

Derby has to overcome these numbers:

Derby, a former state Democratic chairwoman, lost by 12,575 votes to Heller in 2006. Republicans then held a 48,346 advantage in voter registration in the district, which covers all of rural Nevada, Washoe County and the Mesquite and Nellis Air Force Base areas in Clark County.

Now the Republican advantage in the district is 21,338 voters. Even with their big lead, Heller spokesman Stewart "Mac" Bybee said the campaign is not taking anything for granted.