Campaign Insanity

Barack Obama isn't even going to try and win as many states as possible; his campaign is going to target only 18 states.

They can forget Nevada. It's gone with the wind.

Meanwhile, I can expect McCain to target all 50 states, and maybe DC and the territories.

Democratic Convention II

Askin' ain't gettin': Democrats are trying to seek unity at the convention.

Obama, meanwhile, dismisses the anger of Clinton supporters at his own peril.

If a huge chunk of them don't vote for him, how in the hell can he possibly make up the difference?

Mr. Obama played down worries being aired by some Democrats – and fueled by the Republican campaign of Senator John McCain – that stalwart admirers of Mrs. Clinton would not support his candidacy in November. He said that Senator Clinton and former President Bill Clinton “could not be more clear about their support for my candidacy.”

Yet he conceded that some political patchwork needed – and the burden was on him.

“There are going to be some of Senator Clinton’s supporters who we’re going to have to work hard to persuade to come on board – that’s not surprising,” Mr. Obama said. “But if you take a look this week, I am absolutely convinced that both Hillary Clinton and Bill Clinton understand the stakes.”

He doesn't even acknowledge the fact he is an illegitimate nominee--THAT in a nutshell is why so many Clinton supporters can't stand him.

It's the fraud, stupid.

Campaign Notes

From all indications, Obama is in deep shit in terms of being able to win in November:

Several new surveys show that Obama is in a tight race or even losing ground to Republican John McCain, both nationally and in two important swing states, Colorado and Minnesota. One new poll offered a possible explanation for his troubles: A minority of voters see Obama as a familiar figure with whom they can identify.

McCain has this election in the bag, as far as I am concerned.

Campaign Notes.

I would submit not only is Obama limping towards the finish line in this primary election marathon, but that he may well collapse before he reaches it.

He had peaked at around the beginning of March after a slew of mostly caucus wins. Ever since he's piddled to the finish.

Clinton has been making the case for several months, as her support has grown stronger among white working class voters, that those voters will not support Obama in a general election. By contrast, experts believe Obama's core - educated Democrats and blacks - will remain loyal to the party no matter who the nominee is. There is strong data to back that up, especially from recent votes in West Virginia and Kentucky where large proportions of Clinton voters said they would not back Obama in November.

There is also a growing fear that many of the women backing Clinton are turning against Obama. Clinton and her supporters have controversially accused their rival, and the media, of being misogynistic in the last few weeks of the race. A recent Pew Poll showed Obama's support among white women collapsing from 56 per cent to 43 per cent.

But the electoral fact remains the same. The dramatic Obama vs Clinton contest is now down to a few hundred uncommitted party 'superdelegates', who are under huge pressure to make their decisions in the next few days. Senior party figures, including House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, have been working privately to convince them to make that decision as soon as possible, ideally this week. With Obama's delegate lead unassailable, the vast majority are almost certain to come over to his side.

The contest is probably in the hands of the superdelegates, but they don't have to do anything until the convention. Hillary is taking it to the convention; she can't back down now.
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It's time to shit all over Bill Clinton in this article. The writer would do better to cover Barack Obama critically.

The writer is full of shit, by the way, especially when writing about the Lewinsky bullshit.
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From a Right-Wing Site,

the top seven reasons why Obama doesn't have a chance in hell of ever being elected president.

The "Reader's Digest" version:

1. He's gaffe-prone.

2. His associates including Wright, Rezko, Ayers, etc.

3. He's unqualified.

4. He appeals only to a narrow base of voters.

5. His "post-racial" rhetoric is a ruse.

6. He brings nothing to a ticket being from a blue state.

7. He has alienated many Democratic voters who may jump to the other side.


See, you don't even have to read the article. These reasons have been discussed to death on this blog and in other places. Just because the article is from Townhall doesn't mean the arguments presented in this piece aren't true.

I would add perhaps the most important reason of all is the media are in the tank for John McCain, and this makes it difficult for any Democratic candidate to win this year. But the reasons given in the article make Obama's chances even more remote.

More Campaign Notes.

While an honest observer would say the ONLY reason Barack Obama has gotten as far as he has is because of his racial background given his skimpy resume, in point of fact this won't be why he will lose badly in the fall if he gets the nomination.

It is an outrage the media deliberately refused to vet this guy until they believed he had the nomination in the bag. I am furious with the blatant manipulation.

The guy is already toast against McCain, but it isn't too late for Democrats to reverse a certain disaster.

The manipulation won't end with this election. It will continue EVERY election cycle until voters wake the hell up.
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Newt Gingrich offers Obama some advice which he will ignore.

This

in a nutshell is what is so wrong with Obama's campaign: If he scores poorly with whites in the primaries, he's not going to do well in the general election.

Seriously, we are looking at a 50-state (or 57-state) blowout for McCain if Obama is the nominee. Obama can't even begin to make the race competitive. It makes me ask why Democrats are so gullible when it comes to media hype.

Campaign Notes.

Because of Obama's extremely narrow base ala George McGovern in 1972, states like Ohio and Florida would be out of reach for him in November, which is another reason why Hillary Clinton or somebody else should be the presidential nominee for the Democrats.
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Chicago politics are what made Barack Obama, and Chicago politics could break him if Democrats are crazy enough to make him the nominee.

Moreover, his "transformative" politics aka Kumbaya Politics is so much horseshit, I refused to back him from the get-go. It shows an appalling lack of knowledge about how far to the right the opposition is and tells me he would further their ends in order to appease them.

Forget him. At least with the awful McCain you know what you are getting. With Obama, he's nothing but a fraud.

And he is posed to wreck the Democratic Party for years.
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Campaign Notes.

There appears to be a "fault line" between blacks and working-class whites, and it is presenting a problem for the Democratic Party, which if it had any goddamned sense would have kept John Edwards in the race.

He would have united all factions of the party. Now we have a real problem, and those officials who are supporting Obama, despite serious electability questions, are doing so because they are afraid of alienating black voters.

They would rather lose, and badly, than alienate a key base, a base that would NOT vote for McCain under any circumstances. That is not true with working-class whites.
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In This Video

from the New York Times, bloggers Mark Kleiman and Jeralyn Merritt debate the subject of whether Obama will lose the blue-collar Democratic vote in November.

As if there is really any doubt whatsoever.

Kleiman really is pathetic. By the way, Mark, Edwards WOULD have been re-elected in North Carolina if Kerry hadn't picked him for the 2004 ticket. That is a fact.

It is also a fact, Mark, that Bill Clinton did NOT carry North Carolina in either 1992 or in 1996. The last time a Democrat carried the state was in 1976, with Jimmy Carter.

How in the hell could Obama win shit in the general election?

Now Keith Obamamann

tries to make the silly claim Obama is more electable than Clinton:





Jerome Armstrong makes some valid points about how each of the candidates fares against John McCain.

I don't think either can beat McCain at this point, but Clinton will do far better.

It will be VERY tough for the Democrats to win the White House this year. It should have never have happened.

Ya Think So,

John?

I've been saying that for months. There is a reason why the media promote this guy, and it's not because of his dubious gifts.

Indeed, if you look at Obama's vote in Pennsylvania, you begin to see the outlines of the old George McGovern coalition that haunted the Democrats during the '70s and '80s, led by college students and minorities. In Pennsylvania, Obama did best in college towns (60 to 40 percent in Penn State's Centre County) and in heavily black areas like Philadelphia.

Its ideology is very liberal. Whereas in the first primaries and caucuses, Obama benefited from being seen as middle-of-the-road or even conservative, he is now receiving his strongest support from voters who see themselves as "very liberal." In Pennsylvania, he defeated Clinton among "very liberal" voters by 55 to 45 percent, but lost "somewhat conservative" voters by 53 to 47 percent and moderates by 60 to 40 percent. In Wisconsin and Virginia, by contrast, he had done best against Clinton among voters who saw themselves as moderate or somewhat conservative.

Well, yeah. Some of us have been beating this view to death since the primaries began.

Gene Lyons

takes on the media, last week's debate, Obama, and Obama's general election chances, which are slim-to-none at this early stage and probably zip on election night:

Leave it to Democrats to try drawing to an inside straight in the most important presidential election of our times. For the uninitiated, that’s a poker metaphor for making a long-shot bet against the odds. Will America have its first woman president, its first black man or neither ? Nobody planned it, apart from Sens. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, that is. The other 37 Democratic candidates were of the customary white-dude persuasion. Six months ago, amid the wreckage of the Bush presidency, a Democratic victory appeared inevitable. Then the Republicans nominated an extremely white 72-year-old dude who can’t keep Sunni and Shiite straight, knows less about economics than my spaniel Buffy and is considered unfit for the presidency by many in his own party. The Washington Post recently quoted high-ranking Republicans saying that Sen. John McCain’s screaming temper tantrums and propensity for holding grudges make him a poor choice. McCain’s the ideal GOP candidate for the influential white-sorehead demographic. The so-called straighttalking-maverick-war-hero also happens to be much beloved by Beltway media courtiers, largely because he feeds them donuts and tells them funny stories about his youthful pursuit of Brazilian strippers. Both Democrats handle reporters as gingerly as poisonous reptiles. Hence, what ought to be the proverbial “lay-down hand” for Democrats now looks chancy.

As pointed out by this post, Obama would have a very tough time winning in states Clinton did in the primaries (not that Clinton would win all of those states, either), and no chance at all winning any of the caucus he won in the primaries.

He benefited so much from Republican crossover votes.

Campaign Follies.

It's pretty clear to anything thinking individual Barack Obama's campaign is a lost cause whether he admits it or not, but the trouble is his campaign has done major damage to Hillary Clinton and the Democratic Party in the process.
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Don't expect Obama to give a major speech about his connections to Rezko.

He already lied about it in the South Carolina debate back in January.
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It seems Bill Richardson didn't think much of Obama's chances of winning the November elections not too long ago.

Chris Matthews talked about the subject today with Mrs. Alan Greenspan and Newsweek's resident shithead Howard Fineman:



And there's more.
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John Edwards says no to a VP slot and refuses to endorse either Democratic candidate.
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Campaign Notes.

Chelsea Clinton let a questioner have it when he asked about the idiotic Lewinsky mess.
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It may be true, George that it would be easier for a black man to be elected president than a woman, but that does not mean Barack Obama is more electable than Hillary Clinton.

In fact, Obama would lose so badly to John McCain it would make McGovern's landslide loss to Nixon look like a landslide itself.

Obama can't win a single state against McCain. Clinton would do much better, although I doubt she could pull off a victory in the Electoral College.
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CBS wants a debate in the worst way, and that's probably the way it will get it.
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Campaign Notes II.

Smearing Bill Clinton as some kind of Joseph McCarthy does not do Obama any good, and retired General Tony McPeak should knock it off.

All this nonsense is doing is alienating even more Democrats from supporting Obama if he got the nomination.

McPeak had been a Republican or independent who supported John Kerry in 2004. I saw him in the fall when he appeared with Madeleine Albright in Reno.
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And it is bad shit for Obama no matter what. Defections from the party will happen en masse if he were to be the standardbearer in the fall.

Pennsylvania would be gone, and God knows how many other states that went blue last time will go red.
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Realizing he is going to be destroyed by Clinton in Pennsylvania, Obama is wanting to abuse the election process by encouraging Republicans and independents to ratfuck it for him.

Gee, Barack, which party do you belong to?

Speaking of Pennsylvania, there is a racial divide going on there.
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Campaign Notes.

Well no kidding Obama can't win the general election, but Hillary Clinton would have a tough time of it as well.

The Handwriting is on the Wall, Folks,

and it is terrible for Democrats if we don't wake the hell up:

Republican voters have sharply altered their views of the party’s presidential candidates following the early contests in Iowa and New Hampshire, with Senator John McCain, once widely written off, now viewed more favorably than any of his major competitors, according to the latest nationwide New York Times/CBS News Poll.

Of course it is still early in the race, but the handwriting IS on the wall, thanks to the media being in the tank for McCain.

Democrats are being manipulated, and so are Republicans.

Incredibly, more Democrats are believing the horseshit Obama is electable, and forget John Edwards; he doesn't exist in this article.

The media has gotten their marching orders from corporate America and the USCC.

More Campaign Notes.

Let's hope Democrats at least have enough goddamned sense to overlook media hype and actually look at whether candidates can win next fall.

The media are very obvious in which candidates they are promoting; after all, they are getting their marching orders from upstairs. I hope voters will reject it.
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Here's more about Plantgate.

Town hall formats need to be genuine, not photo-ops for candidates.
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More Campaign Notes.

This WSJ piece doesn't say anything most people don't already know.

Most people, except, of course, the Democratic insiders, who simply can't understand their nostalgia for Clinton I isn't going to cut it with this electorate, an electorate that wants change.

I wish it were otherwise, for Hillary Clinton is a good person and would make a good president, but she just simply can't get elected in the general election.

Her latest screw-ups simply magnify the problem.
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I hate to tell Obama, although he was too young to remember much of the 1960s, unlike yours truly, he IS in the same generational cohort as Hillary Clinton.

The baby boom generation spans the years 1946-1964. Obama was born in 1961.

There is no use of him pretending to be of another "generation" in trying to evoke JFK when HE talked about a "new generation" after he took over from Ike.
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You coulda fooled me, Barack.

Tell that to many of her supporters.